Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.994578 3.519254 4.078750 4.716674 5.420756 6.171121 7.028228
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.091354 2.774840 3.562106 4.522639 5.649649 6.917364 8.438220
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.488180 2.231506 3.154291 4.352058 5.833853 7.576689 9.750521
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.108441 1.874676 2.895887 4.296937 6.110400 8.322893 11.169175
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.826558 1.582326 2.663035 4.224958 6.330688 8.982989 12.485620
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.691982 1.471196 2.651390 4.427737 6.897019 10.080625 14.364458
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.545238 1.305323 2.531241 4.456473 7.217152 10.859642 15.851159
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.474682 1.251746 2.568650 4.704332 7.837605 12.041155 17.876625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.407120 1.186913 2.575955 4.900178 8.384946 13.133417 19.804646
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.334176 1.092271 2.518859 4.986611 8.771011 14.010467 21.460887
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.256961 0.965190 2.386217 4.937910 8.948958 14.598130 22.734914
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.210351 0.893875 2.342291 5.023989 9.323542 15.461202 24.390273
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.168174 0.821304 2.289465 5.095899 9.687138 16.330644 26.092194
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.119249 0.707470 2.137401 4.984013 9.758978 16.783608 27.229749
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.080478 0.600891 1.980171 4.845663 9.776778 17.152599 28.252252
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.056488 0.529044 1.884557 4.807553 9.948119 17.744700 29.593479
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037438 0.459352 1.779532 4.739924 10.063417 18.251273 30.817455
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031805 0.451818 1.825236 4.964529 10.670368 19.504804 33.126169
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022231 0.410391 1.776658 4.998114 10.954015 20.273040 34.746390
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019578 0.412382 1.843872 5.267586 11.646478 21.674518 37.299641
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016161 0.404579 1.882661 5.479944 12.245096 22.940850 39.671270
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011558 0.378556 1.865280 5.573637 12.638946 23.897133 41.601701
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006596 0.333438 1.782123 5.521163 12.772449 24.449922 42.946032